By Rich Kozlovich
On February 14, 2024 I posted this An Analysis: Senate Race 2024 and More. I've updated that piece regularly leaving all the speculations and
potentials in place to show the events and the time line even
though some of it's meaningless now. It appears
to me, as of right now anyway, the most of Republican seats will remain
Republican, but not all, even if there are different faces.
As I pointed out there
are 33 United States Senate seats up for election in 2024. There are 3 Independent seats (who always caucus with the Democrats, which is why the Democrats have a majority in the Senate) 20
open Democrats, and 10 Republicans. That seemingly gives the
Republicans an edge, 23 Democrat/Independents, versus 10 Republican
seats up for grab.
I believe there will be 5 Democrat seats that will go Republican one
Republican seat that will go Independent, and three that's 50/50, and
two of those are Republican seats. Right now there are 48 Democrats, 3
Independents, and 49 Republicans in the Senate, giving the Democrats a
one seat majority.
If the Republicans take the five I'm calling
for them, and the three that are tossups go to the Democrats, along with
the Independent taking a Republican seat, that will make the Senate a
50/50 tie, meaning the Vice President would be the tie breaking vote in
the Senate, and I've come to the conclusion some of these seats will have
to be taken on Trump's coattails.
But since the
Democrat/Independent
contingent will vote in lock step, and there are so many RINO's who
will
typically vote with the Democrats, the Democrats will still control the
Senate. The realistic numbers? 50 Democrat/Independents, anywhere from
6
to 10 RINO's at any give time, leaving 40 to 44 Republicans. That
gives the
Senate a potential 60/40 edge over the Republicans, even if the Senate
leader is a Republican, and it won't be Mitch McConnell.
As
for the House, my view remains the same. The Republican House is
filled with brainless, gutless, and feckless
nitwits. Not as bad as Liz Chaney, but I think there are a lot of
borderline Liz Chaney's in the House. Demonstrating that was the fact
it took two attempts to impeach Mayorkas, who was
clearly guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors. As a
result, they
could lose the House.
I initially thought the Democrats would
believe they were going to lose the White House, so all their chicanery
and massive voter fraud schemes in this election that would focus on the
down
card. That doesn't appear to be the case, as they're all in for Kamala,
who they all thought was an nitwit before Biden in effect made her the
candidate when he withdrew. An action
interpreted by many,
and rightly so in my opinion, to punish the Democrat machine for
pushing him out, and he keeps doubling down on that with his
"support".
The really big take away is the Democrats are a
disaster, and are clearly working to destroy America, and it's
institutions, and more are coming to that conclusion. The question is:
Can Democrats muster enough fraudulent votes to overcome a massive voter
rebellion against their party, and will there be a massive voter revolt
against Democrats?
What about October Surprises? Well, it will be
interesting to watch in the next few days what happens over these two
October Surprises. Usually they've been against Republicans, but
yesterday Kamala has been exposed as a plagiarist, a seriously bad plagiarist, and the day before Walz was accused of being a homosexual pedophile.
But,
hey, everyone has flaws, and besides, they're Democrats, so
what's the big deal? Right? As Whoopie said about Roman Polanski
having sex
with a 13 year old girl, it's not like its rape-rape. What a strange
moral universe they live in, how will that play out, and will all that
effect the down card?
As the journalist in Charlies Wilson's War said: We'll See!
