Senate Race: Final Analysis

By Rich Kozlovich

Well, it's crossing the Rubicon time, and I've made some past predictions regarding the Senate races.  First, my February 14, 2024 analysis, which I updated throughout the year, leading to my October 15th update.  At that point in my analyses I concluded:

If the Republicans take the five I'm calling for them, and the three that are tossups go to the Democrats, along with the Independent taking a Republican seat, that will make the Senate a 50/50 tie, meaning the Vice President would be the tie breaking vote in the Senate, and I've come to the conclusion some of these seats will have to be taken on Trump's coattails.   

I believe there will be 5 Democrat seats that will go Republican one Republican seat that will go Independent, and three that's 50/50, and two of those are Republican seats.  Right now there are 48 Democrats, 3 Independents, and 49 Republicans in the Senate, giving the Democrats a one seat majority.   

But since the Democrat/Independent contingent will vote in lock step, and there are so many RINO's who will typically vote with the Democrats, the Democrats will still control the Senate.  The realistic numbers?  

50 Democrat/Independents, anywhere from 6 to 10 RINO's at any give time,  leaving 40 to 44 Republicans.  That gives the Senate a potential 60/40 edge over the Republicans, even if the Senate leader is a Republican, and it won't be Mitch McConnell. 

As for the House, my view remains the same.   The Republican House is filled with brainless, gutless, and feckless nitwits.  Not as bad as Liz Chaney, but I think there are a lot of borderline Liz Chaney's in the House.   Demonstrating that was the fact it took two attempts to impeach Mayorkas, who was clearly guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors.  As a result, they could lose the House.   

I still think all that is valid, but, as the reporter in Charlie Wilson's War said, "We'll See"!